Now the protests look like they’re starting again, and rightly so. Here’s China’s dilemma…
If Beijing tolerates more protests (and they succeed), they may lead to greater autonomy for Hong Kong at a time when Beijing is trying to strengthen and centralise its control. But if Beijing cracks down on the protestors, it will have another Tiananmen Square massacre on its hands with two important differences.
Hong Kong is a major city and will not be as easy to control as a confined square in Beijing.
And the rise of social media, mobile devices and live streaming guarantee that Beijing will not be able to hide or cover up any atrocities.
The jury is out on which path the Communists would take. But with China’s increasing belligerence in the region, don’t count out a strong response.
Unfortunately, the resolution may not be the peaceful one hoped for but another bloody massacre.
With the U.S. warning China against strong action in Hong Kong, let’s just hope the situation doesn’t light a powder keg resulting in a shooting war.